| Details1: | Climate alarmists repeatedly hint, suggest, state and even adamantly declare that hurricanes will become more frequent and intense in a CO2-enriched and warming world. Such, however, is a far-from-settled fact.
In the introduction to their recently published paper that addresses this subject, Bender et al. (2010) write that "increasing amounts of greenhouse gases are a likely factor in recent warming of tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures (SSTs, 1-3)," although they say that "internal variability (4) and reduced aerosol or dust forcing (5,6) may have also contributed." They additionally report that "some statistical analyses suggest a link between warmer Atlantic SSTs and increased hurricane activity (6-8)," but they add that "other studies contend that the spatial structure of the SST change may be a more important control on tropical cyclone frequency and intensity (9-11)." In addition, they report that "a few studies (6,8,12) suggest that greenhouse warming has already produced a substantial rise in Atlantic tropical cyclone activity," but they hasten to say that "others question that conclusion (9,11,13)." Clearly, therefore, there is no consensus on the subject; and the science is not settled, in contradiction of what so many would have us believe.
... |
